The microstructure of exchange rate management: FX intervention and capital controls in Brazil

This article uses a microstructure approach to analyse the effectiveness of capital controls introduced in Brazil to counter an appreciation of the Real. Based on a rich data set from the Brazilian foreign exchange market, we estimate a reduced-form VAR to characterize the interaction of the central bank, financial and commercial customers in times of regulatory policy measures. We find that capital controls change market participants’ behaviour, and that central bank interventions elicit a significant response in financial order flow. Referring to the source of order flow, we find no direct price impact by financial flows and thus no evidence that the appreciation of the Real is driven by financial customers’ activity. Instead, commercial customers seem to be a primary driver of the Real within our model.     

金融市场发展、外汇储备积累与经济增长--基于国别门限面板模型的分析

外汇储备持续增长已成为多个国家的经济负担,然而不能忽视外汇储备增长对经济发展的积极影响。基于新兴市场各国短期内无最优方法改善高额外汇储备积累难题的假设条件进行研究,试图寻找能够将外汇储备的积极效应最大化的途径。利用27国相关数据建立门限面板模型后,分析不同金融市场发展水平下外汇储备对经济增长的宏观经济效应。研究结果表明：在发达国家和新兴市场国家,外汇储备均对经济增长具有积极影响。但是,不同的金融市场发展水平也会限制外汇储备的经济效应。金融市场发展水平越高的国家,外汇储备对经济增长的促进作用更为明显。     

Performance of Foreign and Global Mutual Funds: The Role of Security Selection,Region‐Shifting,and Style‐Shifting Abilities

We examine the performance of U.S.‐based foreign and global funds after controlling for their regional and style exposure. We show that, on average, the total performance (TP) and security selection abilities of both foreign and global funds are significantly negative and exhibit short‐term predictability. Additionally, R² reflects funds’ security selection abilities, consistent with previous findings for domestic mutual funds. Investors can earn higher abnormal returns and TP in the short run by purchasing past winners with low R² than by purchasing past losers with high R². However, there is no evidence of predictability in the funds' region‐shifting and style‐shifting abilities.     

实体企业对外汇衍生产品的需求

使用文献调查法、问卷调查法和统计分析法等方法,找出影响国内涉汇企业外汇衍生品需求的因素,通过借鉴国际外汇衍生品的发展规律,结合目前国内实际情况,同时充分考虑市场建设成本与收益的关系及风险因素,建立发展我国外汇衍生品市场的合理次序,并提出推动国内外汇衍生品市场健康发展的若干措施。     

我国上市银行外汇风险暴露的测度研究

伴随着金融全球化以及人民币国际化进程,商业银行作为外汇市场上的交易主体,其外汇风险暴露问题成为值得关注的问题。使用资本市场法对我国上市商业银行外汇风险暴露进行测度,结果表明我国50%的上市银行存在显著的外汇风险暴露,在人民币渐进升值、银行外汇资产迅速增加的背景下,我国上市银行需要加强对外汇风险的管理,提高稳健经营水平。     

服务出口复杂度与经济增长质量：一项跨国经验研究

借鉴测度服务出口复杂度的最新方法,在测算了包括中国在内的35个国家服务出口复杂度指数基础之上,利用2000—2013年跨国面板数据,计量检验了服务出口复杂度对经济增长“质”的影响。结论表明,无论是以全要素生产率作为经济增长质量的替代变量,还是以劳动生产率作为替代变量,服务出口复杂度对经济增长的“质”均表现出显著积极影响,即服务出口复杂度越高,对经济增长质量的促进作用越明显。此外,研究还发现,人力资本、创新能力、贸易开放度以及利用外资等均对经济增长质量提升具有促成作用。     

Do banks matter for the risk of a firm's investment portfolio? Evidence from foreign direct investment programs

The study explores the role of banks as debt and equity holders for the riskiness of a firm's investment strategy using a panel of Japanese firms in the electronics industry in the period 1992–2004 for the empirical analysis. Based on a conceptual framework grounded in agency and financial intermediation theories, we find that a larger involvement of banks as debt holders in a firm is associated with lower foreign direct investment portfolio risk, while the shareholdings of universal banks increase it, supporting the theoretical predictions. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

汇率调整对中国对外贸易及引进外资的影响

中国的汇率调整已经成为一个不争的事实,汇率调整必定对中国经济产生重大影响。本文主要探讨汇率调整对中国对外贸易及引进外资的影响。     

发展外汇衍生类产品业务问题的思考

大力发展外汇衍生类产品业务是我国商业银行和涉外企业的战略选择。外汇衍生类产品业务在我国仍处于发展的初级阶段，存在着很多亟待解决的问题，只有采取加快人才培养、加大监管力度、完善金融市场等措施，才能实现快速发展。